Polls are out pre-primary and it shows more trouble for Dallas Democrats 2022 edition.
The Dallas Morning News/UT Tyler poll shows Greg Abbott beating presumed Democratic nominee Beto O’Rourke by eleven points. O’Rourke still must win his primary, but Betocrats came out hard against whispers Matthew McConaughey might enter the race.
At the time, polls showed McConaughey beating Abbott – the only potential candidate to do so in any poll.
Currently, O’Rourke is well ahead of his other four primary opponents, but it is unclear what he does next if he loses again.
Lt. Governor candidate Mike Collier leads 21 points to 18 for state representative Michelle Beckley and Democratic Party Vice Chair Carla Brailey at 15 percentage points.
The big surprise may be progressive Latina Rochelle Mercedes Garza who is leading Joe Jaworski and the field of five candidates for Attorney General. She currently has 22 percentage points, nearly doubling presumed front runner Jaworski’s 13 points.
In that race, Lee Merritt and Mike Fields each come in with 9 points.
Dallas Democrats continue to shoot themselves in foot.
Locally, the party is still recovering from losses in 2020 that lost the chance at Texas House of Representatives membership parity. At the time insiders said a circular firing squad started.
It was also revealed that in a Dallas County Democratic Party audit that there were almost no operational or financial controls over money flowing into and out of the party. This all happened as Democrats included convicted felon Terry Hodge as a member of their Electoral College slate.
Trouble For Dallas Democrats 2022 Despite Self Inflicted GOP Wounds
The good news for Dallas Democrats mostly comes from a Republican Party that seems focused on nominating local QAnon supporters as standard bearers for their campaigns.
The other difficulty the GOP appears to be having will come in the 32nd Congressional District if they choose to nominate Brad Namdar who has been accused of soliciting an escort for sex and then not paying her after a second encounter.
That accusation led to him being suspended from an anti-trafficking program Namdar participated in with the Texas Secretary of State.
DMN/UT Tyler Poll Methodology
The Dallas Morning News/UT-Tyler Poll is a statewide random sample of 1,118 registered voters conducted between February 8 – 15, 2022.
The mixed-mode sample includes 276 registered voters surveyed over the phone by the University of Texas at Tyler with support from ReconMR and 912 registered voters randomly selected from Dynata’s panel of online respondents.
The margin of error for a sample of 1,118 registered voters in Texas is +/- 2.8 percentage points, and the more conservative margin of sampling error that includes design effects from this poll is +/- 3.1 percentage points for a 95% confidence interval.
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