Paxton Garza Race Polling

Paxton Garza Race Polling

Paxton Garza race polling may show a tight November race for Texas Attorney General. The Texas Tribune/UT Tyler poll shows Garza within two points.

Paxton Garza Race Polling

Polling shows incumbent Ken Paxton (R) ahead of Rochelle Garza (D), 34 – 32%.

The poll shows half of independent voters disapprove of Ken Paxton’s work as Attorney General. That is up from just over forty percent earlier this summer. It also shows more than a third of voters are undecided.

In addition to his political troubles, Paxton remains under indictment for securities fraud. That charge has plagued his time as Attorney General almost since he took office.

Paxton Garza Race Polling And National Trends

Garza appears to be bucking a national trend and may outperform Joe Biden in Texas despite running as a self described progressive. Biden’s tracking poll numbers show him down by more than fifteen points.

Real Clear Politics Poll - Presidential Approval

The one area of national unanimity is the direction of the country where a fifty point gap exists between right direction and wrong.

Real Clear Politics Poll - Direction of Country

These poll numbers are within the Margin of Error, but still show Garza ahead of Beto O’Rourke taking a statewide seat.

Garza Issues

One issue clearly separating the two candidates is immigration. Though a federal issue, Garza has taken an open borders approach.

On her website she says, “Refugees, asylum seekers, and immigrants must be welcome in Texas — but that will never be the case as long as the GOP holds onto power.”

Immigration

This statement contradicts Democratic Party exit polling from 2020 where Latinos in South Texas rejected this stance leading to an increased number of Latinos voting for Donald Trump.

As an issue for Dallas, open borders may have allowed Abel Elias Acosta to escape to Mexico after a triple murder in Garland last Christmas. Garland Police currently list Acosta as their number Most Wanted fugitive.

Abel Elias Acosta Most Wanted; Unclear How Fits Into Paxton Garza Race Polling

Crime has been up in Dallas so it is unclear how this issue with play for Garza both in Paxton Garza race polling, but the general election also.

Trouble For Dallas Democrats 2022 Edition

Polls are out pre-primary and it shows more trouble for Dallas Democrats 2022 edition.

Trouble For Dallas Democrats 2022

The Dallas Morning News/UT Tyler poll shows Greg Abbott beating presumed Democratic nominee Beto O’Rourke by eleven points. O’Rourke still must win his primary, but Betocrats came out hard against whispers Matthew McConaughey might enter the race.

At the time, polls showed McConaughey beating Abbott – the only potential candidate to do so in any poll.

Currently, O’Rourke is well ahead of his other four primary opponents, but it is unclear what he does next if he loses again.

Lt. Governor candidate Mike Collier leads 21 points to 18 for state representative Michelle Beckley and Democratic Party Vice Chair Carla Brailey at 15 percentage points.

The big surprise may be progressive Latina Rochelle Mercedes Garza who is leading Joe Jaworski and the field of five candidates for Attorney General. She currently has 22 percentage points, nearly doubling presumed front runner Jaworski’s 13 points.

In that race, Lee Merritt and Mike Fields each come in with 9 points.

Dallas Democrats continue to shoot themselves in foot.

Locally, the party is still recovering from losses in 2020 that lost the chance at Texas House of Representatives membership parity. At the time insiders said a circular firing squad started.

It was also revealed that in a Dallas County Democratic Party audit that there were almost no operational or financial controls over money flowing into and out of the party. This all happened as Democrats included convicted felon Terry Hodge as a member of their Electoral College slate.

Trouble For Dallas Democrats 2022 Despite Self Inflicted GOP Wounds

The good news for Dallas Democrats mostly comes from a Republican Party that seems focused on nominating local QAnon supporters as standard bearers for their campaigns.

The other difficulty the GOP appears to be having will come in the 32nd Congressional District if they choose to nominate Brad Namdar who has been accused of soliciting an escort for sex and then not paying her after a second encounter.

That accusation led to him being suspended from an anti-trafficking program Namdar participated in with the Texas Secretary of State.

DMN/UT Tyler Poll Methodology

The Dallas Morning News/UT-Tyler Poll is a statewide random sample of 1,118 registered voters conducted between February 8 – 15, 2022.

The mixed-mode sample includes 276 registered voters surveyed over the phone by the University of Texas at Tyler with support from ReconMR and 912 registered voters randomly selected from Dynata’s panel of online respondents.

The margin of error for a sample of 1,118 registered voters in Texas is +/- 2.8 percentage points, and the more conservative margin of sampling error that includes design effects from this poll is +/- 3.1 percentage points for a 95% confidence interval.